Pokémon Shrouded Fable Pull Rates: What an ETB Delivers
Pokémon Shrouded Fable pull rates: expected hits per ETB, packs per Special Illustration Rare, and cost per chase card at MSRP vs. market.
Pokémon doesn’t publish official pull rates, so everything below is community-sourced: public pack-opening samples combined in Poké EV’s open pull-rate dataset (CC BY 4.0). Confidence for Shrouded Fable: medium (fewer public samples, so treat these as rougher estimates). Shrouded Fable released 2024-08-02. Every number is an average across many packs, so any single box can do better or worse.
See how every Scarlet & Violet set compares: all 11 sets ranked by pull rate and cost per SIR →
What the data covers
| Product | Packs | Cards per pack |
|---|---|---|
| ETB | 9 | 10 |
Rates are per pack; per-box figures multiply them by the packs in each product.
Expected pulls per box
| Rarity | 1 in N packs | Per ETB |
|---|---|---|
| Rare (non-holo) | 1 in 1.3 | 6.90 |
| Double Rare (Pokemon ex) | 1 in 6.0 | 1.50 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 12.0 | 0.75 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 15.0 | 0.60 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 67.0 | 0.13 |
| Hyper Rare (gold) | 1 in 144.0 | 0.06 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 1 in 20.0 | 0.45 |
| Any hit (ex or better) | 3.50 |
Cost per chase
Price divided by the expected number of cards. Prices are MSRP or market asks, not completed sales, and they move.
- MSRP
- Market price
Average cost per card of each chase rarity. Most single boxes won't contain a Special Illustration Rare or Hyper Rare at all.
| Product | At MSRP | At market price |
|---|---|---|
| ETB | $49.99 · $14.30/hit · $372/SIR | $109.85 · $31.41/hit · $818/SIR |
MSRP: ETB $49.99 (standard ETB MSRP). ETB market price: $109.85 (pokevalues, Oct 10, 2026).
Notes and caveats
- Special set: no booster boxes. ETB modeled. The Loyal Three and Pecharunt headline.
- No official pull rates exist for Pokémon; all rates are community estimates, labeled with Poké EV’s confidence level.
- These are averages across many packs. A single box can beat or miss every number on this page.
- Nothing here is a buy or sell recommendation. It’s the math behind the community data.
Sources
- Pull rates: Poké EV, Pokémon TCG pull rates (CC BY 4.0)
- pokepatch.com
- thepricedex.com
