Pokémon

Pokémon Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates: What an ETB Delivers

Pokémon Prismatic Evolutions pull rates: expected hits per ETB, packs per Special Illustration Rare, and cost per chase card at MSRP vs. market.

By Brandon · · 2 min read

Pokémon TCG Scarlet & Violet Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box
Image: The Pokémon Company.
2.9 hits per ETB ex or better, on average
1 in 45 packs per SIR Special Illustration Rare; about 0.20 per ETB
$17.04 per hit at MSRP ETB at $49.99
$44.06 per hit at market ETB at $129.25

Pokémon doesn’t publish official pull rates, so everything below is community-sourced: public pack-opening samples combined in Poké EV’s open pull-rate dataset (CC BY 4.0). Confidence for Prismatic Evolutions: high. Prismatic Evolutions released 2025-01-17. Every number is an average across many packs, so any single box can do better or worse.

See how every Scarlet & Violet set compares: all 11 sets ranked by pull rate and cost per SIR →

What the data covers

ProductPacksCards per pack
ETB910

Rates are per pack; per-box figures multiply them by the packs in each product.

Expected pulls per box

Rarity1 in N packsPer ETB
Rare (non-holo)1 in 1.36.81
Double Rare (Pokemon ex)1 in 6.01.50
Ultra Rare1 in 13.00.69
Special Illustration Rare1 in 45.00.20
Hyper Rare (gold)1 in 80.00.11
ACE SPEC Rare1 in 21.00.43
Any hit (ex or better)2.93

Cost per chase

Price divided by the expected number of cards. Prices are MSRP or market asks, not completed sales, and they move.

Prismatic Evolutions: cost per chase card
  • MSRP
  • Market price

Average cost per card of each chase rarity. Most single boxes won't contain a Special Illustration Rare or Hyper Rare at all.

ProductAt MSRPAt market price
ETB$49.99 · $17.04/hit · $250/SIR$129.25 · $44.06/hit · $646/SIR

MSRP: ETB $49.99 (standard ETB MSRP). ETB market price: $129.25 (pokefocus, Oct 10, 2026).

Notes and caveats

  • Special set: no booster boxes. ETB modeled. PokeBeach found SIRs twice as easy to pull here as in a normal set.
  • Eevee evolutions drive the entire chase list.
  • No official pull rates exist for Pokémon; all rates are community estimates, labeled with Poké EV’s confidence level.
  • These are averages across many packs. A single box can beat or miss every number on this page.
  • Nothing here is a buy or sell recommendation. It’s the math behind the community data.

Sources

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