Pokémon Destined Rivals Pull Rates: What a Booster Box Delivers
Pokémon Destined Rivals pull rates: expected hits per booster box, packs per Special Illustration Rare, and cost per chase card at MSRP vs. market.
Pokémon doesn’t publish official pull rates, so everything below is community-sourced: public pack-opening samples combined in Poké EV’s open pull-rate dataset (CC BY 4.0). Confidence for Destined Rivals: high. Destined Rivals released 2025-05-30. Every number is an average across many packs, so any single box can do better or worse.
See how every Scarlet & Violet set compares: all 11 sets ranked by pull rate and cost per SIR →
What the data covers
| Product | Packs | Cards per pack |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Box | 36 | 10 |
| ETB | 9 | 10 |
Rates are per pack; per-box figures multiply them by the packs in each product.
Expected pulls per box
| Rarity | 1 in N packs | Per Booster Box | Per ETB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare (non-holo) | 1 in 1.4 | 26.55 | 6.64 |
| Double Rare (Pokemon ex) | 1 in 5.0 | 7.20 | 1.80 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 12.0 | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 16.0 | 2.25 | 0.56 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 94.0 | 0.38 | 0.10 |
| Hyper Rare (gold) | 1 in 149.0 | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| Any hit (ex or better) | 13.07 | 3.27 |
Cost per chase
Price divided by the expected number of cards. Prices are MSRP or market asks, not completed sales, and they move.
- MSRP
- Market price
Average cost per card of each chase rarity. Most single boxes won't contain a Special Illustration Rare or Hyper Rare at all.
| Product | At MSRP | At market price |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Box | $161.64 · $12.36/hit · $422/SIR | $406.93 · $31.12/hit · $1,063/SIR |
| ETB | $49.99 · $15.29/hit · $522/SIR | n/a |
MSRP: Booster Box $161.64 (Pokémon Center price); ETB $49.99 (standard ETB MSRP). Booster Box market price: $406.93 (doubleholo, Oct 10, 2026).
Notes and caveats
- The final numbered Scarlet & Violet set. Booster boxes at ~2.5x MSRP.
- No official pull rates exist for Pokémon; all rates are community estimates, labeled with Poké EV’s confidence level.
- These are averages across many packs. A single box can beat or miss every number on this page.
- Nothing here is a buy or sell recommendation. It’s the math behind the community data.
Sources
- Pull rates: Poké EV, Pokémon TCG pull rates (CC BY 4.0)
- tcgplayer.com
- gamerant.com
- pokepatch.com
